Thursday, May 30, 2013

INR touched 10 Months low - May touch 57 in short term

 INR depreciation continued and touched 10 Months low of  56.31  ( 4.6% fall since 1st May ) . The factor which is impacting INR fall are as follows : 


 US  central Bank indicate  to stop / reduce  Bond buying  program (QE3) as its Economy  has started showing  . improvement . This  will lead to less USD liquidity  à lesser flow to Emerging  Economy à USD appreciation .

USD appreciating  Globally against  major Currencies .  USD index  which  is a composition of six major international  currency  touched  3 year high of 84.50 


YEN depreciated 16% against  USD  so far this Year  touched 4 ½  year low (103.78)

Euro  is showing  continuous weakness against USD due to EURO zone  Economic  concern 


In view of Central election of India in 2014 , no major development expected on Economic reform 

Higher trade deficit in April ,13 ( USD17.8 Billion)  . Gold Import up by 138%  in April (YOY )

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